A Hypothesis

Posted on March 8, 2006. Filed under: Uncategorized |

My hypothesis is that countries which spend more on their military spend less on development, and vice versa. 

My prediction is that countries which spend more on the military (expressed as a percentage of GNP) will spend less on development assistance (expressed as a percentage of GNP) and that countries which spend less on development assistance spend more on the military. 

I ran the numbers with a small set of data and it appears to be true, supplemented by the figure on page 330 of Sach’s book The End of Poverty

Country Defense Expenditures as a Share of Gross Domestic Product (1995) Aid as % defence/aid

For some reason this appears to be a zero sum game. 

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